“Many major retailers have told us they’ve got about a six-to-eight-week supply of inventory in their systems now that will quickly dry up,” the port executive director said.
April 28, 2025

Imports at the Port of Los Angeles are expected to plunge in the next two weeks, even as negotiations over the final tariffs that China and other countries must pay are ostensibly still being negotiated by the Yam Man. Via the LATimes:

That was the sobering message that port Executive Director Gene Seroka had Thursday for the Los Angeles Board of Harbor Commissioners during an update on port activity.

“It’s my prediction that in two weeks’ time, arrivals will drop by 35% as essentially all shipments out of China for major retailers and manufacturers have ceased, and cargo coming out of Southeast Asia locations is much softer than normal,” Seroka told the board.

[...] The decline will continue the following week, when 16 vessels are supposed to arrive carrying 74,925 TEUs, down nearly 33% from last year, according to Wabtec.

I don't know about you, but I'm stockpiling whatever I can still get my hands on:

And even though Trump on April 9 announced a 90-day pause on reciprocal tariffs many nations may have to pay, Seroka said, “that’s not a lot of lead time for the industry to make decisions on procurement, manufacturing, locations or sourcing.”

“Many major retailers have told us they’ve got about a six-to-eight-week supply of inventory in their systems now that will quickly dry up,” he said. “United States consumers and manufacturers alike will find difficult decisions in the weeks and months to come if policies don’t change.”

[...] Seroka said he expects exports to be hit even harder. In March, the port moved 123,000 TEUs, down 15% from a year earlier — the fourth straight month of decline on a year-over-year basis. He said retaliatory tariffs are hitting agriculture, heavy duty manufacturing and the information technology and services sectors.

As you know, Republicans are good for the economy. Because they run government like a business!

Trump’s trade war has caused nearly a 50% year-over-year drop at West Coast ports.

There’s a supply chain breakdown just like we saw during COVID and we’re about to get slammed with higher prices. P

Christopher Webb (@cwebbonline.com) 2025-04-26T21:54:27.045Z

It’s only getting much play in the trade/transport niche press. But pretty real product shortages beginning in mid-May or so are already locked in. They’re maybe a thousand miles out in the Pacific Ocean. Modern trade takes place in gargantuan container ships. There are very detailed records …

Josh Marshall (@joshtpm.bsky.social) 2025-04-27T14:19:32.779Z

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