The gold standard of polls in Iowa has Trump 47-Harris 43, after giving Trump an 18-point lead against Biden earlier.
September 15, 2024

Trump won the state comfortably in 2016 and 2020 but that might not be the case this year, putting Iowa suddenly on the radar to watch. A poll in June from Ann Selzer gave Trump an 18-point advantage over President Biden.

Huge spikes in enthusiasm among women, voters younger than 45, city dwellers, and those with a college degree are given as the reasons for the shift.

Source: Des Moines Register

Kamala Harris has significantly narrowed the presidential race in Iowa, cutting Donald Trump’s lead to 4 percentage points in a dramatic turnaround from Joe Biden’s double-digit deficit.

A new Des Moines Register/Mediacom Iowa Poll shows that Trump leads Vice President Harris 47% to 43% among likely Iowa voters — a far slimmer margin than the 18-point lead the former Republican president enjoyed over Democratic President Biden in late spring.

Before Biden ended his reelection campaign, a June Iowa Poll showed Trump leading 50% to 32%.

This is the Iowa Poll’s first test of Harris’ strength against Trump since she became the Democratic Party’s presidential nominee in August.

“I wouldn’t say 4 points is comfortable” for Trump, said pollster J. Ann Selzer, president of Selzer & Co. “The race has tightened significantly.”

Robert F. Kennedy Jr., who has abandoned his independent presidential campaign but will remain on the Iowa ballot, gets 6% of the vote. That’s down from 9% in June.

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